Name: Elon Musk Says SpaceX Will Be Making Regular Flights by 2023
Uploaded: 2021-02-11T19:33:13.000Z
Description: Watch the stand-up comedy video 'Elon Musk Says SpaceX Will Be Making Regular Flights by 2023' from PowerfulJRE on Comedy Buff. Published 2021-02-11. Transcript available.

Watch the stand-up comedy video 'Elon Musk Says SpaceX Will Be Making Regular Flights by 2023' from PowerfulJRE on Comedy Buff. Published 2021-02-11. Transcript available.

The Joe Rogan experience.
They show him the new missile they've developed, but it has kind of a round
head.
And he says, you need to make it more pointy to his engineers.
And actually, that's why I also say the same thing.
You know, Starship, we need to make it more pointy.
Did you say that?
Because of the movie?
Yeah.
Really?
Yeah.
Hold on.
I just have that main camera on.
Okay.
Okay.
You literally told them to make the Starship more pointy because of the movie
The Dictator.
Yep.
And they know it, too.
It's not like they're unaware of it.
Everyone thought it would be funny if we made the rocket more pointy, so we did.
Did it have any effect on the aerodynamics?
No.
Nothing.
No, we can make it way blunter and be fine.
But is it better to be pointier?
If it wasn't for the movie?
It's arguably slightly worse.
But more fun for you.
Yeah, it looks cooler.
Well, okay.
It does look cool.
Yeah.
Yeah.
How long do you think it'll be before?
Are you good, Jamie?
What's that?
My head's maybe?
Yeah, exactly.
You good?
How long?
My head is sticking out.
Is that where it's?
It's right on the edge of the top.
Oh, is that supposed to be?
Okay.
You're good.
How long do you think it's going to be before you have like regular flights
with that where
you can take off and land and like an airplane where it'll be very consistent?
With our extra pointy rocket?
Yeah, with your extra pointy rocket.
Do you mean Earth-to-Earth transport?
Or to Earth to orbit or anywhere?
Just any kind of.
Any time where you could just do it with people and have it land all the time?
I think we're probably two years away.
Two years away.
Yeah.
That's really nice.
Two years is pretty cool.
Two years for people.
We'll have a lot of flights between them and then.
That's crazy.
2023 is not that far away.
That'll be there before you know it.
Yeah.
Wow.
2023.
Time flies.
How many times have you had explosions with those things?
When you're on a rocket.
I don't know.
Like quite a few.
Six.
Maybe five or six.
What are those like?
What is it like when you watch it explode?
When it's supposed to land and it just boom.
This is a test program.
We expect it to explode.
Of course.
It's weird if it doesn't explode, frankly.
Really?
Yeah.
Because we're trying to develop advanced rockets at a high speed.
And if you want to get payload to orbit, you have to run things close to the
edge.
And the whole rocket is evolving.
The engines, the structure, avionics, the software, the ground systems are all
evolving simultaneously.
And the whole production system, which is actually harder than the rocket
design by far.
So the rocket and engine and avionics production system and the launch system
is 1,000% harder than the initial design.
Like at least.
Really?
Yeah.
So when...
Same with cars.
It's like 10,000%.
And it's easy to do a car prototype.
It's hard to do production.
Hmm.
So when you're looking and you're scaling towards the future and you're looking
at mistakes or corrections, improvements, and all these different things,
that's how you come up with this figure of approximately two years.
If current trends continue, if we...
You know, if you plot the points on the curve of progress,
then we should be doing regular orbital flights with a high probability of safe
landing in two years.
So...
We're getting to orbit this year.
Our goal is to get to orbit this year.
Hmm.
So...
And I'm not sure people totally understand.
Like, Starship is the largest flying object ever made.
This thing will be about over 5,000 tons of weight on liftoff.
It's going to go straight up with 5,000 tons.
Whoa.
This is much heavier than any aircraft by far.
There's no aircraft even comes close to this weight.
And it's going straight up.
The aircraft can't go straight up.
So it's like the...
It's got more than twice...
It will have more than twice the thrust of a Saturn V.
Really?
Yeah, yeah.
It's like a big rocket.
Why does it need that much thrust?
Well, we're trying to...
Because you want to go to Mars?
Or is this like...
We're trying to make life multi-planetary.
You know.
Extend life beyond Earth.
And in order to do that, you have to have high tonnage to Mars.
And that means you need a big rocket and you've got to fly a lot.
So the reason why it has twice the thrust of the Saturn V is to plan for these
interstellar trips.
Interplanetary.
Interplanetary trips.
So when you're doing this and you're developing these systems, thinking about
regular trips to other planets.
But you're not just trying to get into orbit right now.
You're trying to get into orbit with something that eventually could scale up.
Yeah, we know how to get to orbit.
We've done that a lot.
So the really hard thing is we need to have a fully and rapidly reusable rocket
where all elements of the rocket are reused.
And they're reused quickly, like an aircraft.
And this has never been done.
This is the holy grail of rocketry.
Is to have a fully reusable rocket.
Then you need to go one step further.
It needs to be fully and rapidly reusable.
You know, it's like...
Like a plane.
Yeah, yeah.
Like a plane lands, you, you know, refuel it and take off a game.
How do you have time?
I never understand you in regards to the way you run multiple businesses
simultaneously.
I would think that something like this would require so much concentration.
It would require...
Yeah.
I would think this would be your whole being, trying to figure out how to work
this.
Yeah, well, I do work a lot.
It's crazy.
Yeah.
And I probably just, for the reason I was late, is I was literally coming from,
you know, some critical meetings.
Just doing...
Normally, I'd be meeting until I work until like one or two in the morning.
Every night?
Not...
I mean, Saturday and Sunday, usually not, but sometimes.
How much do you sleep?
About six hours.
Oh.
That's pretty good.
Yeah.
It's not that crazy.
For you, that's...
I mean, for someone who does as much as you, that's actually...
That's impressive that you can squeeze that in.
Yeah.
I've tried sleeping less, but then total productivity decreases.
Yeah.
So you feel like six is the number where it's...
Yeah.
Six is...
Six is...
I can...
That...
I don't find myself wanting more sleep than six.
So when, like, with the Saturn V and the space shuttles and all these other
rockets, they
would have these parts that would get the ship up into space, but they would
descend down
to Earth and crash into the ocean, and they would never use them again.
That's right.
How do you avoid that?
Like, what is the difference between the way these things are structured?
Like, the whole thing goes together, and then it lands together?
Well, we're on the wrong planet for a single stage to orbit.
Right.
I think one thing to appreciate is, like, space...
Getting to space is easy.
Getting to orbit is hard.
So you only need maybe one or two percent of the energy to get to space, to
where the atmosphere
is thin, compared to what you need to get to orbit.
And if you get to orbit, now you've got to burn off all that energy, and you're
coming
in like a meteor.
So you need a powerful heat shield.
So it's, like, super difficult to get to orbit at all.
And then if you get to orbit at all, then making those stages reusable means
they've got to
come back intact.
And then the upper stage is especially difficult because it's got so much
energy.
All the energy you put into it, you have to take out.
So it's, you know, you're literally coming in like a flaming meteor.
And most things would just melt or vaporize.
So, like, if you as a human try to come in from orbit, you'd just be pink mist.
Yeah.
That's a funny way to put it.
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